Prediction Markets

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FiveThirtyEight

538, Nate Silver

Data journalism and election forecasting outlet founded by Nate Silver.

Jurisdiction: United States

6 stories|4 primary docs|Last updated 3d ago

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3d ago

Trump visit China bet seems like free money

Reddit r/Polymarket reports: Update: Trump visit China bet seems like free money Trump visit China bet seems like free money

FiveThirtyEight+1 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Federal Litigation - District Courts

Apr 15, 2026

Veterans benefits: a consensus candidate for cert

Filing: Veterans benefits: a consensus candidate for cert Veterans benefits: a consensus candidate for cert

Omen+3 sources

Crypto Prediction Markets

Apr 4, 2026

Technical Failure: $80 USDC stuck in Polymarket Relay Depository (0x4cd00e38...) - Support unresponsive.

Reddit r/Polymarket reports: Update: Technical Failure: $80 USDC stuck in Polymarket Relay Depository (0x4cd00e38...) - Support unresponsive. Technical Failure: $80 USDC stuck in Polymarket Relay Depository (0x4cd00e38...) - Support unresponsive.

FiveThirtyEight+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch CFTC Enforcement & Investigations

Apr 1, 2026

Federal Appeals Court Rejects Kalshi Bid to Pause Nevada Enforcement - Decrypt

Discovery Search reports: Enforcement: Federal Appeals Court Rejects Kalshi Bid to Pause Nevada Enforcement - Decrypt Federal Appeals Court Rejects Kalshi Bid to Pause Nevada Enforcement - Decrypt

Federal Reserve+4 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Federal Litigation - District Courts

Mar 26, 2026

Brady violations, child abduction, qualified immunity, and confessions of error

Filing: Brady violations, child abduction, qualified immunity, and confessions of error Brady violations, child abduction, qualified immunity, and confessions of error

UMA Protocol+1 sources

Feb 18, 2026

Favorite plays

Reddit r/sportsbetting reports: Update: Favorite plays Favorite plays

FiveThirtyEight+1 sources