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Lead story · 2026·05·18 · 21:45 UTC

Polymarket’s “Will the US invade Iran before 2027?” market peaked at 68% but crashed to 28% now. Trump postponed strikes, Gulf states pressured de-escalation, talks are ongoing. A trader had just bet $30K on Yes.

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This cluster tracks updates related to Polymarket’s “Will the US invade Iran before 2027?” market peaked at 68% but crashed to 28% now. Trump postponed strikes, Gulf states pressured de-escalation, talks are ongoing. A trader had just bet $30K on Yes.. Primary documents include: Polymarket’s “Will the US invade Iran before 2027?” market peaked at 68% but crashed to 28% now. Trump postponed strikes, Gulf states pressured de-escalation, talks are ongoing. A trader had just bet $30K on Yes.. Latest coverage: Polymarket’s “Will the US invade Iran before 2027?” market peaked at 68% but crashed to 28% now. Trump postponed strikes, Gulf states pressured de-escalation, talks are ongoing. A trader had just bet $30K on Yes..

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May 18, 2026Update
Polymarket’s “Will the US invade Iran before 2027?” market peaked at 68% but crashed to 28% now. Trump postponed strikes, Gulf states pressured de-escalation, talks are ongoing. A trader had just bet $30K on Yes.
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