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Macro & Policy Decisions

Federal Reserve decisions, trade policy, tariffs, and geopolitical events that drive prediction market activity.

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Discovery Search·mar 8, 2026
Primary

Kalshi, Polymarket Discuss Fundraising at $20B Valuations: Report

1 article · 1 primary doc · mar 8, 2026
BBC News - Business·mar 5, 2026
Primary

States sue Trump over new 'unlawful' global tariffs

1 article · 1 primary doc · mar 5, 2026
Associated Press·mar 5, 2026
Primary

After Supreme Court rebuke, Democrats call for government to refund billions in Trump tariff money

9 articles · 8 primary docs · mar 5, 2026
Associated Press·mar 5, 2026
Primary

Judge rules companies are entitled to refunds for Trump tariffs overturned by the Supreme Court

2 articles · 2 primary docs · mar 5, 2026
Discovery Search·mar 5, 2026
Primary

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair Nomination Official, Settling $807M Prediction Market

1 article · 1 primary doc · mar 5, 2026
The Hill·mar 4, 2026
Primary

Judge orders Trump administration to close out goods without charging emergency tariffs

1 article · 1 primary doc · mar 4, 2026
Cointelegraph·mar 4, 2026

Kraken Secures Federal Reserve Master Account

3 articles · mar 4, 2026
Discovery Search·mar 4, 2026
Primary

Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?

1 article · 1 primary doc · mar 4, 2026
Discovery Search·mar 4, 2026
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Nothing Ever Happens: March

1 article · 1 primary doc · mar 4, 2026
CoinDesk·mar 3, 2026

U.S. Senate housing bill includes CBDC ban

2 articles · mar 3, 2026
New York Times - Business·mar 1, 2026
Primary

Can an A.I. Productivity Boom Clear a Path for More Rate Cuts? Trump’s Fed Pick Thinks So.

2 articles · 2 primary docs · mar 1, 2026
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