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Macro & Policy Decisions

Federal Reserve decisions, trade policy, tariffs, and geopolitical events that drive prediction market activity.

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Bloomberg Law·mar 12, 2026

Primary

Trump’s Well-Stocked Tariff Toolkit Demands Importers’ Attention

28 articles · 16 primary docs · mar 12, 2026

CNBC·mar 12, 2026

Primary

U.S. trading partners cheer Supreme Court tariff ruling — but businesses must still navigate 'murky waters'

22 articles · 12 primary docs · mar 12, 2026

CNBC·mar 11, 2026

Primary

Bessent says global 15% tariff starts this week, move back to prior rates within 5 months

4 articles · 2 primary docs · mar 11, 2026

Discovery Search·mar 11, 2026

Primary

Prediction Market Contracts Tied to Iran War Sow Confusion—and Frustration

6 articles · 3 primary docs · mar 11, 2026

The Hill·mar 9, 2026

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Group that defeated Trump’s tariffs at Supreme Court challenges latest round

1 article · 1 primary doc · mar 9, 2026

Discovery Search·mar 8, 2026

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Kalshi, Polymarket Discuss Fundraising at $20B Valuations: Report

1 article · 1 primary doc · mar 8, 2026

BBC News - Business·mar 5, 2026

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States sue Trump over new 'unlawful' global tariffs

1 article · 1 primary doc · mar 5, 2026

Associated Press·mar 5, 2026

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After Supreme Court rebuke, Democrats call for government to refund billions in Trump tariff money

9 articles · 8 primary docs · mar 5, 2026

Associated Press·mar 5, 2026

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Judge rules companies are entitled to refunds for Trump tariffs overturned by the Supreme Court

2 articles · 2 primary docs · mar 5, 2026

Discovery Search·mar 5, 2026

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Kevin Warsh Fed Chair Nomination Official, Settling $807M Prediction Market

1 article · 1 primary doc · mar 5, 2026

The Hill·mar 4, 2026

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Judge orders Trump administration to close out goods without charging emergency tariffs

1 article · 1 primary doc · mar 4, 2026

Cointelegraph·mar 4, 2026

Kraken Secures Federal Reserve Master Account

3 articles · mar 4, 2026

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