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Coverage of election prediction markets, political event contracts, and related regulatory issues.

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Election & Political Contracts
Mar 5, 2026

China sets a lower economic growth target of 4.5% to 5% for 2026 as challenges loom

  • Associated Press reports: Update: China sets a lower economic growth target of 4.5% to 5% for 2026 as challenges loom China sets a lower economic growth target of 4.5% to 5% for 2026 as challenges loom
Chainlink+1 sources
CFTC Rulemaking & GuidanceMacro & Policy DecisionsSports Event Contracts
Mar 5, 2026

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair Nomination Official, Settling $807M Prediction Market

  • Enforcement: Kevin Warsh Fed Chair Nomination Official, Settling $807M Prediction Market Kevin Warsh Fed Chair Nomination Official, Settling $807M Prediction Market
Federal Reserve+1 sources
Election & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026

Scoop: Democrats face threat of primary challenges over Iran war powers vote

  • Primary document: Scoop: Democrats face threat of primary challenges over Iran war powers vote Scoop: Democrats face threat of primary challenges over Iran war powers vote
Chainlink+1 sources
State Regulator CrackdownsElection & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026

Women Shaping Policy event highlights the ‘why’ behind female leadership

  • The Hill reports: Update: Women Shaping Policy event highlights the ‘why’ behind female leadership Women Shaping Policy event highlights the ‘why’ behind female leadership
Augur+1 sources
Appeals & Supreme Court WatchCFTC Enforcement & InvestigationsElection & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026

RFK Jr. Can Push Measles Herd Immunity in Theory, DOJ Says

  • Bloomberg Law reports: Ruling: RFK Jr. Can Push Measles Herd Immunity in Theory, DOJ Says RFK Jr. Can Push Measles Herd Immunity in Theory, DOJ Says
Tally+1 sources
CFTC Rulemaking & GuidanceSports Event ContractsElection & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026

Rolex Enthusiasts Get Kalshi Contracts to Bet on Watch Prices

  • Discovery Search reports: Update: Rolex Enthusiasts Get Kalshi Contracts to Bet on Watch Prices Rolex Enthusiasts Get Kalshi Contracts to Bet on Watch Prices
Kalshi+1 sources
Election & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026

Menefee, Green’s Democratic primary battle heads to runoff

  • The Hill reports: Ruling: Menefee, Green’s Democratic primary battle heads to runoff Menefee, Green’s Democratic primary battle heads to runoff
Decision Desk HQ+1 sources
Appeals & Supreme Court WatchState Regulator CrackdownsElection & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026

Birthright citizenship: under the flag

  • Filing: Birthright citizenship: under the flag Birthright citizenship: under the flag
Augur+2 sources
State AG & Consumer ProtectionState Regulator CrackdownsElection & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026

Live updates: Talarico prevails over Crockett in Texas; Hegseth details Iran operation

  • The Hill reports: Update: Live updates: Talarico prevails over Crockett in Texas; Hegseth details Iran operation Live updates: Talarico prevails over Crockett in Texas; Hegseth details Iran operation
Indiana+1 sources
Federal Litigation - District CourtsState AG & Consumer ProtectionState Regulator Crackdowns
Mar 4, 2026

Jasmine Crockett concedes to James Talarico in Texas Democratic Senate primary

  • Associated Press reports: Filing: Jasmine Crockett concedes to James Talarico in Texas Democratic Senate primary Jasmine Crockett concedes to James Talarico in Texas Democratic Senate primary
Chainlink+1 sources
CFTC Enforcement & InvestigationsState Regulator CrackdownsElection & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026

Kalshi suspends users for violating its policy on "insider trading"

  • Discovery Search reports: Enforcement: Kalshi suspends users for violating its policy on "insider trading" Kalshi suspends users for violating its policy on "insider trading"
Chainlink+8 sources
CFTC Rulemaking & GuidanceCFTC Enforcement & InvestigationsElection & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026

Suspected insiders make over $1.2 million on Polymarket ahead of U.S. strike on Iran

  • CoinDesk reports: Enforcement: Suspected insiders make over $1.2 million on Polymarket ahead of U.S. strike on Iran Suspected insiders make over $1.2 million on Polymarket ahead of U.S. strike on Iran
Chainlink+10 sources
Sports Event ContractsElection & Political ContractsInstitutional & Platform Moves
Mar 4, 2026

Kolashi and Polymarket: The world is now your casino

  • Discovery Search reports: Update: Kolashi and Polymarket: The world is now your casino Kolashi and Polymarket: The world is now your casino
Federal Reserve+4 sources
CFTC Enforcement & InvestigationsElection & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026

How Orbán’s Opposition Fell for the Polymarket Myth Ahead Hungary’s Election - Hungarian Conservative

  • Discovery Search reports: Update: How Orbán’s Opposition Fell for the Polymarket Myth Ahead Hungary’s Election - Hungarian Conservative How Orbán’s Opposition Fell for the Polymarket Myth Ahead Hungary’s Election - Hungarian Conservative
SEC+1 sources
State AG & Consumer ProtectionState Regulator CrackdownsElection & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026

Texas warning signs: 4 takeaways from the first primaries of 2026

  • Axios reports: Update: Texas warning signs: 4 takeaways from the first primaries of 2026 Texas warning signs: 4 takeaways from the first primaries of 2026
Chainlink+1 sources
Appeals & Supreme Court WatchFederal Litigation - District CourtsState AG & Consumer Protection
Mar 4, 2026

James Talarico wins Democratic primary in Texas' U.S. Senate race

  • Primary document: James Talarico wins Democratic primary in Texas' U.S. Senate race James Talarico wins Democratic primary in Texas' U.S. Senate race
Chainlink+1 sources
Macro & Policy DecisionsSports Event ContractsElection & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: March

  • Update: Nothing Ever Happens: March Nothing Ever Happens: March
Federal Reserve+1 sources
State AG & Consumer ProtectionState Regulator CrackdownsElection & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026

Prediction markets point to Talarico-Paxton showdown in Texas Senate race

  • Primary document: Prediction markets point to Talarico-Paxton showdown in Texas Senate race Prediction markets point to Talarico-Paxton showdown in Texas Senate race
Snapshot+4 sources
CFTC Rulemaking & GuidanceCFTC Enforcement & InvestigationsState Regulator Crackdowns
Mar 4, 2026

Texas Senate primary odds: Crockett or Talarico?

  • Discovery Search reports: Ruling: Texas Senate primary odds: Crockett or Talarico? Texas Senate primary odds: Crockett or Talarico?
Kalshi+4 sources
Election & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026

Holladay wins Arkansas special election in key Democratic pickup

  • The Hill reports: Ruling: Holladay wins Arkansas special election in key Democratic pickup Holladay wins Arkansas special election in key Democratic pickup
Decision Desk HQ+1 sources
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