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Election & Political Contracts
Coverage of election prediction markets, political event contracts, and related regulatory issues.
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20 stories
Election & Political Contracts
Mar 5, 2026
China sets a lower economic growth target of 4.5% to 5% for 2026 as challenges loom
Associated Press reports: Update: China sets a lower economic growth target of 4.5% to 5% for 2026 as challenges loom
China sets a lower economic growth target of 4.5% to 5% for 2026 as challenges loom
Chainlink
+1 sources
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CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance
Macro & Policy Decisions
Sports Event Contracts
Mar 5, 2026
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair Nomination Official, Settling $807M Prediction Market
Enforcement: Kevin Warsh Fed Chair Nomination Official, Settling $807M Prediction Market
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair Nomination Official, Settling $807M Prediction Market
Federal Reserve
+1 sources
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Election & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026
Scoop: Democrats face threat of primary challenges over Iran war powers vote
Primary document: Scoop: Democrats face threat of primary challenges over Iran war powers vote
Scoop: Democrats face threat of primary challenges over Iran war powers vote
Chainlink
+1 sources
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State Regulator Crackdowns
Election & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026
Women Shaping Policy event highlights the ‘why’ behind female leadership
The Hill reports: Update: Women Shaping Policy event highlights the ‘why’ behind female leadership
Women Shaping Policy event highlights the ‘why’ behind female leadership
Augur
+1 sources
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Appeals & Supreme Court Watch
CFTC Enforcement & Investigations
Election & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026
RFK Jr. Can Push Measles Herd Immunity in Theory, DOJ Says
Bloomberg Law reports: Ruling: RFK Jr. Can Push Measles Herd Immunity in Theory, DOJ Says
RFK Jr. Can Push Measles Herd Immunity in Theory, DOJ Says
Tally
+1 sources
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CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance
Sports Event Contracts
Election & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026
Rolex Enthusiasts Get Kalshi Contracts to Bet on Watch Prices
Discovery Search reports: Update: Rolex Enthusiasts Get Kalshi Contracts to Bet on Watch Prices
Rolex Enthusiasts Get Kalshi Contracts to Bet on Watch Prices
Kalshi
+1 sources
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Election & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026
Menefee, Green’s Democratic primary battle heads to runoff
The Hill reports: Ruling: Menefee, Green’s Democratic primary battle heads to runoff
Menefee, Green’s Democratic primary battle heads to runoff
Decision Desk HQ
+1 sources
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Appeals & Supreme Court Watch
State Regulator Crackdowns
Election & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026
Birthright citizenship: under the flag
Filing: Birthright citizenship: under the flag
Birthright citizenship: under the flag
Augur
+2 sources
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State AG & Consumer Protection
State Regulator Crackdowns
Election & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026
Live updates: Talarico prevails over Crockett in Texas; Hegseth details Iran operation
The Hill reports: Update: Live updates: Talarico prevails over Crockett in Texas; Hegseth details Iran operation
Live updates: Talarico prevails over Crockett in Texas; Hegseth details Iran operation
Indiana
+1 sources
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Federal Litigation - District Courts
State AG & Consumer Protection
State Regulator Crackdowns
Mar 4, 2026
Jasmine Crockett concedes to James Talarico in Texas Democratic Senate primary
Associated Press reports: Filing: Jasmine Crockett concedes to James Talarico in Texas Democratic Senate primary
Jasmine Crockett concedes to James Talarico in Texas Democratic Senate primary
Chainlink
+1 sources
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CFTC Enforcement & Investigations
State Regulator Crackdowns
Election & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026
Kalshi suspends users for violating its policy on "insider trading"
Discovery Search reports: Enforcement: Kalshi suspends users for violating its policy on "insider trading"
Kalshi suspends users for violating its policy on "insider trading"
Chainlink
+8 sources
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CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance
CFTC Enforcement & Investigations
Election & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026
Suspected insiders make over $1.2 million on Polymarket ahead of U.S. strike on Iran
CoinDesk reports: Enforcement: Suspected insiders make over $1.2 million on Polymarket ahead of U.S. strike on Iran
Suspected insiders make over $1.2 million on Polymarket ahead of U.S. strike on Iran
Chainlink
+10 sources
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Sports Event Contracts
Election & Political Contracts
Institutional & Platform Moves
Mar 4, 2026
Kolashi and Polymarket: The world is now your casino
Discovery Search reports: Update: Kolashi and Polymarket: The world is now your casino
Kolashi and Polymarket: The world is now your casino
Federal Reserve
+4 sources
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CFTC Enforcement & Investigations
Election & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026
How Orbán’s Opposition Fell for the Polymarket Myth Ahead Hungary’s Election - Hungarian Conservative
Discovery Search reports: Update: How Orbán’s Opposition Fell for the Polymarket Myth Ahead Hungary’s Election - Hungarian Conservative
How Orbán’s Opposition Fell for the Polymarket Myth Ahead Hungary’s Election - Hungarian Conservative
SEC
+1 sources
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State AG & Consumer Protection
State Regulator Crackdowns
Election & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026
Texas warning signs: 4 takeaways from the first primaries of 2026
Axios reports: Update: Texas warning signs: 4 takeaways from the first primaries of 2026
Texas warning signs: 4 takeaways from the first primaries of 2026
Chainlink
+1 sources
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Appeals & Supreme Court Watch
Federal Litigation - District Courts
State AG & Consumer Protection
Mar 4, 2026
James Talarico wins Democratic primary in Texas' U.S. Senate race
Primary document: James Talarico wins Democratic primary in Texas' U.S. Senate race
James Talarico wins Democratic primary in Texas' U.S. Senate race
Chainlink
+1 sources
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Macro & Policy Decisions
Sports Event Contracts
Election & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026
Nothing Ever Happens: March
Update: Nothing Ever Happens: March
Nothing Ever Happens: March
Federal Reserve
+1 sources
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State AG & Consumer Protection
State Regulator Crackdowns
Election & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026
Prediction markets point to Talarico-Paxton showdown in Texas Senate race
Primary document: Prediction markets point to Talarico-Paxton showdown in Texas Senate race
Prediction markets point to Talarico-Paxton showdown in Texas Senate race
Snapshot
+4 sources
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CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance
CFTC Enforcement & Investigations
State Regulator Crackdowns
Mar 4, 2026
Texas Senate primary odds: Crockett or Talarico?
Discovery Search reports: Ruling: Texas Senate primary odds: Crockett or Talarico?
Texas Senate primary odds: Crockett or Talarico?
Kalshi
+4 sources
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Election & Political Contracts
Mar 4, 2026
Holladay wins Arkansas special election in key Democratic pickup
The Hill reports: Ruling: Holladay wins Arkansas special election in key Democratic pickup
Holladay wins Arkansas special election in key Democratic pickup
Decision Desk HQ
+1 sources
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