Prediction Markets

Briefing Latest Topics Search Library

Briefing Latest Topics Search Library

Macro & Policy Decisions

Federal Reserve decisions, trade policy, tariffs, and geopolitical events that drive prediction market activity.

429 stories|Last updated 58m ago

Filter updates

Filters

Top Stories Today

3 updates

Macro & Policy Decisions

58m ago

Fed’s Collins Agreed With FOMC Dissenters Over Statement (1)

Bloomberg Law reports: Ruling: Fed’s Collins Agreed With FOMC Dissenters Over Statement (1) Fed’s Collins Agreed With FOMC Dissenters Over Statement (1)

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions State Regulator Crackdowns Institutional & Platform Moves

2h ago

Kalshi Data Could Inform Fed Reserve Policy, Say Researchers

Cointelegraph reports: Ruling: Kalshi Data Could Inform Fed Reserve Policy, Say Researchers Kalshi Data Could Inform Fed Reserve Policy, Say Researchers

Federal Reserve+28 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Election & Political Contracts

6h ago

There's 'no chance' Warsh will be able to get the Fed to cut rates, Paul Tudor Jones says

CNBC reports: Update: There's 'no chance' Warsh will be able to get the Fed to cut rates, Paul Tudor Jones says There's 'no chance' Warsh will be able to get the Fed to cut rates, Paul Tudor Jones says

Omen+1 sources

All Updates

20 stories

Macro & Policy Decisions

8h ago

Kevin Warsh’s undisclosed wealth leaves a $100 million mystery atop the Federal Reserve

MarketWatch reports: Filing: Kevin Warsh’s undisclosed wealth leaves a $100 million mystery atop the Federal Reserve Kevin Warsh’s undisclosed wealth leaves a $100 million mystery atop the Federal Reserve

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Yesterday

Easy +17% ROI on SPX Market

Reddit r/Polymarket reports: Update: Easy +17% ROI on SPX Market Easy +17% ROI on SPX Market

Federal Reserve+1 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations

Yesterday

FalconX Partners with Kalshi to Revolutionize Institutional Prediction Market Services | MEXC News

Enforcement: FalconX Partners with Kalshi to Revolutionize Institutional Prediction Market Services | MEXC News FalconX Partners with Kalshi to Revolutionize Institutional Prediction Market Services | MEXC News

Omen+2 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

2d ago

First Trump tariff refunds now expected on May 12

Primary document: First Trump tariff refunds now expected on May 12 First Trump tariff refunds now expected on May 12

Supreme Court+1 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Federal Litigation - District Courts Macro & Policy Decisions

2d ago

Responsible Trading Takes Center Stage as Prediction Market Safeguards Advance

Enforcement: Responsible Trading Takes Center Stage as Prediction Market Safeguards Advance Responsible Trading Takes Center Stage as Prediction Market Safeguards Advance

Federal Reserve+2 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Federal Litigation - District Courts Macro & Policy Decisions

2d ago

Sen. Warren rips Federal Reserve chair pick Kevin Warsh: 'You have learned nothing from your failures'

Ruling: Sen. Warren rips Federal Reserve chair pick Kevin Warsh: 'You have learned nothing from your failures' Sen. Warren rips Federal Reserve chair pick Kevin Warsh: 'You have learned nothing from your failures'

Omen+3 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

2d ago

Jamie Dimon blesses the trillion-dollar AI capex boom

Axios reports: Update: Jamie Dimon blesses the trillion-dollar AI capex boom Jamie Dimon blesses the trillion-dollar AI capex boom

Federal Reserve+1 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations

2d ago

Polymarket and Kalshi Open Trading on Chris Martin's World Cup Final Halftime Show

Primary document: Polymarket and Kalshi Open Trading on Chris Martin's World Cup Final Halftime Show Polymarket and Kalshi Open Trading on Chris Martin's World Cup Final Halftime Show

Omen+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

2d ago

Pirro will not appeal judge’s quashing of Fed subpoenas

Washington Post - Business reports: Ruling: Pirro will not appeal judge’s quashing of Fed subpoenas Pirro will not appeal judge’s quashing of Fed subpoenas

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions State Regulator Crackdowns Institutional & Platform Moves

2d ago

Tether Gold (XAUT) Surpasses $3.3B Amid Rising Bullion Demand

Cointelegraph reports: Update: Tether Gold (XAUT) Surpasses $3.3B Amid Rising Bullion Demand Tether Gold (XAUT) Surpasses $3.3B Amid Rising Bullion Demand

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations

2d ago

DOJ’s Pirro Asks Judge to Toss Earlier Ruling on Fed Subpoenas

Ruling: DOJ’s Pirro Asks Judge to Toss Earlier Ruling on Fed Subpoenas DOJ’s Pirro Asks Judge to Toss Earlier Ruling on Fed Subpoenas

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations Election & Political Contracts

3d ago

Prosecutor conceded lack of criminal evidence in Federal Reserve investigation, transcript shows

Associated Press reports: Ruling: Prosecutor conceded lack of criminal evidence in Federal Reserve investigation, transcript shows Prosecutor conceded lack of criminal evidence in Federal Reserve investigation, transcript shows

Federal Reserve+14 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations Election & Political Contracts

3d ago

Warsh hints at a new reading of the Fed's power over swap lines amid UAE discussion

Primary document: Warsh hints at a new reading of the Fed's power over swap lines amid UAE discussion Warsh hints at a new reading of the Fed's power over swap lines amid UAE discussion

Omen+2 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations

4d ago

Pirro says whether she will reopen probe into Powell depends on inspector general’s findings

The Hill reports: Update: Pirro says whether she will reopen probe into Powell depends on inspector general’s findings Pirro says whether she will reopen probe into Powell depends on inspector general’s findings

Federal Reserve+1 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Federal Litigation - District Courts Macro & Policy Decisions

4d ago

Polymarket Study Finds 3.14% Drive Accuracy

Filing: Polymarket Study Finds 3.14% Drive Accuracy Polymarket Study Finds 3.14% Drive Accuracy

Federal Reserve+2 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations

4d ago

Payward To Acquire CFTC-Regulated Crypto Derivatives Platform Bitnomial

Cointelegraph reports: Enforcement: Payward To Acquire CFTC-Regulated Crypto Derivatives Platform Bitnomial Payward To Acquire CFTC-Regulated Crypto Derivatives Platform Bitnomial

Federal Reserve+2 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Institutional & Platform Moves Crypto Prediction Markets

5d ago

Bitcoin forecasted to drop to $59,000 amid geopolitical tensions: Kalshi

Discovery Search reports: Update: Bitcoin forecasted to drop to $59,000 amid geopolitical tensions: Kalshi Bitcoin forecasted to drop to $59,000 amid geopolitical tensions: Kalshi

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Related Topics

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch CFTC Enforcement & Investigations Institutional & Platform Moves Election & Political Contracts Crypto Prediction Markets

Top Entities

Federal Reserve SEC Supreme Court Chainlink Omen Polymarket DOJ Kalshi