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Macro & Policy Decisions

Federal Reserve decisions, trade policy, tariffs, and geopolitical events that drive prediction market activity.

245 stories|Last updated 51m ago

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CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

51m ago

The Growth Path of Polymarket and Kalshi | MEXC News

Filing: The Growth Path of Polymarket and Kalshi | MEXC News The Growth Path of Polymarket and Kalshi | MEXC News

Gnosis+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

3h ago

Easy No bet of the year. Fed rate hike in 2026 is not happening and here's the proof

Reddit r/Polymarket reports: Update: Easy No bet of the year. Fed rate hike in 2026 is not happening and here's the proof Easy No bet of the year. Fed rate hike in 2026 is not happening and here's the proof

Federal Reserve+1 sources

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20 stories

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions State Regulator Crackdowns

15h ago

Washington ignores America's fiscal cliff

Axios reports: Ruling: Washington ignores America's fiscal cliff Washington ignores America's fiscal cliff

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations

19h ago

How AI is helping retail traders exploit prediction market 'glitches' to make easy money

Enforcement: How AI is helping retail traders exploit prediction market 'glitches' to make easy money How AI is helping retail traders exploit prediction market 'glitches' to make easy money

UMA Protocol+6 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Federal Litigation - District Courts Macro & Policy Decisions

2d ago

Trump officially nominates Kevin Warsh as Fed chair to replace Jerome Powell

CNBC reports: Filing: Trump officially nominates Kevin Warsh as Fed chair to replace Jerome Powell Trump officially nominates Kevin Warsh as Fed chair to replace Jerome Powell

Federal Reserve+4 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions State Regulator Crackdowns Institutional & Platform Moves

2d ago

Kalshi Data Could Inform Fed Reserve Policy, Say Researchers

Cointelegraph reports: Ruling: Kalshi Data Could Inform Fed Reserve Policy, Say Researchers Kalshi Data Could Inform Fed Reserve Policy, Say Researchers

Federal Reserve+19 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

2d ago

SEC Accountant Stresses Tariff Disclosure Given Refund Ambiguity

Primary document: SEC Accountant Stresses Tariff Disclosure Given Refund Ambiguity SEC Accountant Stresses Tariff Disclosure Given Refund Ambiguity

Chainlink+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

2d ago

I’m 30 and earn $140,000. How much do I need to invest to have $420,000 in 10 years?

MarketWatch reports: Update: I’m 30 and earn $140,000. How much do I need to invest to have $420,000 in 10 years? I’m 30 and earn $140,000. How much do I need to invest to have $420,000 in 10 years?

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

2d ago

Treasury yields climb as bonds sell off and fear grows that Fed rate cuts are off the table

Ruling: Treasury yields climb as bonds sell off and fear grows that Fed rate cuts are off the table Treasury yields climb as bonds sell off and fear grows that Fed rate cuts are off the table

Omen+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

2d ago

Fed Official Urges Caution on Rate Cuts as Iran War Drags On

New York Times - Business reports: Update: Fed Official Urges Caution on Rate Cuts as Iran War Drags On Fed Official Urges Caution on Rate Cuts as Iran War Drags On

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations Institutional & Platform Moves

2d ago

Trump administration tasks Treasury Department with student loan collection. What borrowers need to know

Enforcement: Trump administration tasks Treasury Department with student loan collection. What borrowers need to know Trump administration tasks Treasury Department with student loan collection. What borrowers need to know

UMA Protocol+1 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Macro & Policy Decisions Sports Event Contracts

2d ago

Kalshi, Polymarket Combine for $17.9B February Volume as Polymarket Closes Gap

Enforcement: Kalshi, Polymarket Combine for $17.9B February Volume as Polymarket Closes Gap Kalshi, Polymarket Combine for $17.9B February Volume as Polymarket Closes Gap

Omen+6 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Election & Political Contracts

3d ago

John F. Kennedy Profile in Courage Award goes to ‘the people of the Twin Cities’ and Jerome Powell

The Hill reports: Update: John F. Kennedy Profile in Courage Award goes to ‘the people of the Twin Cities’ and Jerome Powell John F. Kennedy Profile in Courage Award goes to ‘the people of the Twin Cities’ and Jerome Powell

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

3d ago

DOJ, White House Clear Way for Pirro to Keep Powell Probe Going

Bloomberg Law reports: Ruling: DOJ, White House Clear Way for Pirro to Keep Powell Probe Going DOJ, White House Clear Way for Pirro to Keep Powell Probe Going

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations Institutional & Platform Moves

3d ago

Senate Banking Democrats demand delay on Warsh nomination until Powell and Cook investigations end

CNBC reports: Update: Senate Banking Democrats demand delay on Warsh nomination until Powell and Cook investigations end Senate Banking Democrats demand delay on Warsh nomination until Powell and Cook investigations end

Federal Reserve+15 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

3d ago

Warren calls on Federal Reserve nominee to explain Epstein links

The Hill reports: Update: Warren calls on Federal Reserve nominee to explain Epstein links Warren calls on Federal Reserve nominee to explain Epstein links

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

3d ago

Banking Agencies’ Proposal Highlights the Gross Advantage They Have Given to Large Banks over Community Banks | Better Markets

Primary document: Banking Agencies’ Proposal Highlights the Gross Advantage They Have Given to Large Banks over Community Banks | Better Markets Banking Agencies’ Proposal Highlights the Gross Advantage They Have Given to Large Banks over Community Banks | Better Markets

Federal Reserve+2 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Crypto Prediction Markets

3d ago

Bitcoin Dips to $69,500 But Avoids Six-Week Lows Seen on Gold

Ruling: Bitcoin Dips to $69,500 But Avoids Six-Week Lows Seen on Gold Bitcoin Dips to $69,500 But Avoids Six-Week Lows Seen on Gold

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions State Regulator Crackdowns

3d ago

Bitcoin price slips after Trump hikes worldwide tariff to 15% from 10% despite Supreme Court decision

Ruling: Bitcoin price slips after Trump hikes worldwide tariff to 15% from 10% despite Supreme Court decision Bitcoin price slips after Trump hikes worldwide tariff to 15% from 10% despite Supreme Court decision

Omen+13 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions State Regulator Crackdowns

3d ago

State Street strategist still sees three rate cuts in 2026. The market expects zero.

MarketWatch reports: Update: State Street strategist still sees three rate cuts in 2026. The market expects zero. State Street strategist still sees three rate cuts in 2026. The market expects zero.

Federal Reserve+1 sources

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