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Macro & Policy Decisions

Federal Reserve decisions, trade policy, tariffs, and geopolitical events that drive prediction market activity.

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Macro & Policy Decisions

3d ago

The Markets Contend with Powell’s Long Goodbye at the Fed

New York Times - Business reports: Update: The Markets Contend with Powell’s Long Goodbye at the Fed The Markets Contend with Powell’s Long Goodbye at the Fed

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

3d ago

The Best We Should Hope For From the Fed: Nothing

New York Times - Business reports: Update: The Best We Should Hope For From the Fed: Nothing The Best We Should Hope For From the Fed: Nothing

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

4d ago

Watch: The Gavel with Zach Schonfeld, Ella Lee

The Hill reports: Update: Watch: The Gavel with Zach Schonfeld, Ella Lee Watch: The Gavel with Zach Schonfeld, Ella Lee

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

4d ago

Fed minutes show widening divide over rate cuts

Axios reports: Ruling: Fed minutes show widening divide over rate cuts Fed minutes show widening divide over rate cuts

Federal Reserve+8 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Federal Litigation - District Courts State AG & Consumer Protection

4d ago

Kalshi co-founder fights back against Arizona’s ‘overstep’ in what a lawyer calls a federal-state turf war

Filing: Kalshi co-founder fights back against Arizona’s ‘overstep’ in what a lawyer calls a federal-state turf war Kalshi co-founder fights back against Arizona’s ‘overstep’ in what a lawyer calls a federal-state turf war

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

4d ago

Powell delivers his most definitive answer yet on how long he’ll stay on as Fed chair

MarketWatch reports: Update: Powell delivers his most definitive answer yet on how long he’ll stay on as Fed chair Powell delivers his most definitive answer yet on how long he’ll stay on as Fed chair

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Crypto Prediction Markets

4d ago

Bitcoin Chases $72K After Fed Decides To Hold Rates: Is BTC Selling Over?

Ruling: Bitcoin Chases $72K After Fed Decides To Hold Rates: Is BTC Selling Over? Bitcoin Chases $72K After Fed Decides To Hold Rates: Is BTC Selling Over?

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

4d ago

Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady as Iran war upends the economic outlook.

New York Times - Business reports: Update: Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady as Iran war upends the economic outlook. Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady as Iran war upends the economic outlook.

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

4d ago

As Iran war heightens affordability issues, don't expect the Fed to 'ride in and save the day,' analyst says

Ruling: As Iran war heightens affordability issues, don't expect the Fed to 'ride in and save the day,' analyst says As Iran war heightens affordability issues, don't expect the Fed to 'ride in and save the day,' analyst says

Omen+2 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Election & Political Contracts

4d ago

The Fed to meet about interest rates. And, Sen. Mullin faces DHS confirmation hearing - NPR

Discovery Search reports: Update: The Fed to meet about interest rates. And, Sen. Mullin faces DHS confirmation hearing - NPR The Fed to meet about interest rates. And, Sen. Mullin faces DHS confirmation hearing - NPR

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

4d ago

$7.5M on one FOMC outcome

Reddit r/Polymarket reports: Update: $7.5M on one FOMC outcome $7.5M on one FOMC outcome

Federal Reserve+1 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Macro & Policy Decisions

4d ago

How to read the Fed’s projections like a pro.

New York Times - Business reports: Update: How to read the Fed’s projections like a pro. How to read the Fed’s projections like a pro.

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

4d ago

Two Measures, Two Stories About Inflation

New York Times - Business reports: Update: Two Measures, Two Stories About Inflation Two Measures, Two Stories About Inflation

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Federal Litigation - District Courts State AG & Consumer Protection

4d ago

SCOTUStoday for Friday, March 6

Filing: SCOTUStoday for Friday, March 6 SCOTUStoday for Friday, March 6

Omen+3 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

4d ago

What to Watch at the Federal Reserve’s March Meeting

New York Times - Business reports: Update: What to Watch at the Federal Reserve’s March Meeting What to Watch at the Federal Reserve’s March Meeting

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions State Regulator Crackdowns

5d ago

What $5 diesel fuel means for the U.S. economy

Axios reports: Update: What $5 diesel fuel means for the U.S. economy What $5 diesel fuel means for the U.S. economy

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

5d ago

Trader "crazyary" bets big on Fed rates staying unchanged after April FOMC

Reddit r/Polymarket reports: Update: Trader "crazyary" bets big on Fed rates staying unchanged after April FOMC Trader "crazyary" bets big on Fed rates staying unchanged after April FOMC

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Federal Litigation - District Courts Macro & Policy Decisions

5d ago

SCOTUStoday for Wednesday, February 4

Filing: SCOTUStoday for Wednesday, February 4 SCOTUStoday for Wednesday, February 4

Federal Reserve+7 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations Institutional & Platform Moves

5d ago

Polymarket bettors send death threats to reporter over missile report tied to $14 million prediction market pool

Discovery Search reports: Update: Polymarket bettors send death threats to reporter over missile report tied to $14 million prediction market pool Polymarket bettors send death threats to reporter over missile report tied to $14 million prediction market pool

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Election & Political Contracts

5d ago

Fed officials huddle under pressure from Iran war, Trump’s rage

The Hill reports: Update: Fed officials huddle under pressure from Iran war, Trump’s rage Fed officials huddle under pressure from Iran war, Trump’s rage

Federal Reserve+1 sources

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