Macro & Policy Decisions

Federal Reserve decisions, trade policy, tariffs, and geopolitical events that drive prediction market activity.

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Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations

5d ago

Yellen calls Trump’s Powell investigation ‘most disturbing’

The Hill reports: Update: Yellen calls Trump’s Powell investigation ‘most disturbing’ Yellen calls Trump’s Powell investigation ‘most disturbing’

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Federal Litigation - District Courts Macro & Policy Decisions

6d ago

A federal court just handed Kalshi a landmark win over state regulators

Discovery Search reports: Filing: A federal court just handed Kalshi a landmark win over state regulators A federal court just handed Kalshi a landmark win over state regulators

Omen+3 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

6d ago

Trump says he's raising EU auto tariffs to 25% without clarifying how

Ruling: Trump says he's raising EU auto tariffs to 25% without clarifying how Trump says he's raising EU auto tariffs to 25% without clarifying how

Omen+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

6d ago

K-shaped economy is real, per New York Fed research

Axios reports: Update: K-shaped economy is real, per New York Fed research K-shaped economy is real, per New York Fed research

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

6d ago

Fed Officials Cite Inflation Concerns in Defending Dissents

New York Times - Business reports: Update: Fed Officials Cite Inflation Concerns in Defending Dissents Fed Officials Cite Inflation Concerns in Defending Dissents

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

6d ago

Trump fumes as Jerome Powell plots future at Federal Reserve

The Hill reports: Update: Trump fumes as Jerome Powell plots future at Federal Reserve Trump fumes as Jerome Powell plots future at Federal Reserve

Federal Reserve+1 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

6d ago

Week in Review | The Regulatory Review

Enforcement: Week in Review | The Regulatory Review Week in Review | The Regulatory Review

Second Circuit+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

6d ago

Warsh Must Confront Risks of Dissenting in His First Fed Vote

Bloomberg Law reports: Ruling: Warsh Must Confront Risks of Dissenting in His First Fed Vote Warsh Must Confront Risks of Dissenting in His First Fed Vote

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Election & Political Contracts

6d ago

Three things to know about FISA Section 702: Congress passes short-term extension of controversial surveillance program

Primary document: Three things to know about FISA Section 702: Congress passes short-term extension of controversial surveillance program Three things to know about FISA Section 702: Congress passes short-term extension of controversial surveillance program

Omen+3 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

6d ago

Trump Says He Doesn’t Care If Powell Remains on Fed Board

Bloomberg Law reports: Ruling: Trump Says He Doesn’t Care If Powell Remains on Fed Board Trump Says He Doesn’t Care If Powell Remains on Fed Board

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 30, 2026

Fed minutes show widening divide over rate cuts

Axios reports: Ruling: Fed minutes show widening divide over rate cuts Fed minutes show widening divide over rate cuts

Federal Reserve+20 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations

Apr 30, 2026

Jay Powell vows to keep ‘low profile’ as Federal Reserve governor

Ruling: Jay Powell vows to keep ‘low profile’ as Federal Reserve governor Jay Powell vows to keep ‘low profile’ as Federal Reserve governor

UMA Protocol+1 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 30, 2026

Banking Agencies’ Capital Rules Are Making Community Banks Targets for Private Equity Predators

Better Markets reports: Update: Banking Agencies’ Capital Rules Are Making Community Banks Targets for Private Equity Predators Banking Agencies’ Capital Rules Are Making Community Banks Targets for Private Equity Predators

Federal Reserve+1 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 30, 2026

US Gov’t Sues Four States, RWAs Cross $30 billion: Month in Charts

Primary document: US Gov’t Sues Four States, RWAs Cross $30 billion: Month in Charts US Gov’t Sues Four States, RWAs Cross $30 billion: Month in Charts

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 30, 2026

Powell Says He Will Stay on as Fed Governor After Term as Chair Ends

New York Times - Business reports: Ruling: Powell Says He Will Stay on as Fed Governor After Term as Chair Ends Powell Says He Will Stay on as Fed Governor After Term as Chair Ends

Federal Reserve+3 sources