Macro & Policy Decisions

Federal Reserve decisions, trade policy, tariffs, and geopolitical events that drive prediction market activity.

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Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 30, 2026

Why Morgan Stanley shifted its call on Federal Reserve rate cuts after the FOMC meeting

MarketWatch reports: Update: Why Morgan Stanley shifted its call on Federal Reserve rate cuts after the FOMC meeting Why Morgan Stanley shifted its call on Federal Reserve rate cuts after the FOMC meeting

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations

Apr 29, 2026

Bessent Says Powell Staying On Is ‘Violation’ of All Fed Norms

Bloomberg Law reports: Ruling: Bessent Says Powell Staying On Is ‘Violation’ of All Fed Norms Bessent Says Powell Staying On Is ‘Violation’ of All Fed Norms

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 29, 2026

How Jay Powell repelled Donald Trump’s attacks on the Federal Reserve

Financial Times reports: Ruling: How Jay Powell repelled Donald Trump’s attacks on the Federal Reserve How Jay Powell repelled Donald Trump’s attacks on the Federal Reserve

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 29, 2026

Takeaways from Powell’s final news conference as Fed chair.

New York Times - Business reports: Update: Takeaways from Powell’s final news conference as Fed chair. Takeaways from Powell’s final news conference as Fed chair.

Federal Reserve+2 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 29, 2026

Ford Reports Higher Profit Thanks Partly to Tariff Refund

New York Times - Business reports: Update: Ford Reports Higher Profit Thanks Partly to Tariff Refund Ford Reports Higher Profit Thanks Partly to Tariff Refund

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 29, 2026

JPMorgan’s Michele Says Fed Dissenters Are a Signal to Warsh (1)

Bloomberg Law reports: Ruling: JPMorgan’s Michele Says Fed Dissenters Are a Signal to Warsh (1) JPMorgan’s Michele Says Fed Dissenters Are a Signal to Warsh (1)

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 29, 2026

Powell will remain on Fed board after term as chair ends, denying Trump a vacancy

Washington Post - Business reports: Update: Powell will remain on Fed board after term as chair ends, denying Trump a vacancy Powell will remain on Fed board after term as chair ends, denying Trump a vacancy

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 29, 2026

What to know about the Fed’s rate decision.

New York Times - Business reports: Ruling: What to know about the Fed’s rate decision. What to know about the Fed’s rate decision.

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 29, 2026

Powell says he’ll stay at Fed as governor after his term as chair ends in mid-May

MarketWatch reports: Update: Powell says he’ll stay at Fed as governor after his term as chair ends in mid-May Powell says he’ll stay at Fed as governor after his term as chair ends in mid-May

Federal Reserve+1 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Macro & Policy Decisions State Regulator Crackdowns

Apr 29, 2026

Fed holds interest rates steady: Here's what that means for credit cards, mortgages, car loans and savings rates

Ruling: Fed holds interest rates steady: Here's what that means for credit cards, mortgages, car loans and savings rates Fed holds interest rates steady: Here's what that means for credit cards, mortgages, car loans and savings rates

Omen+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 29, 2026

Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh secures Senate committee approval

Financial Times reports: Update: Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh secures Senate committee approval Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh secures Senate committee approval

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 29, 2026

Iran war is fueling a bond selloff ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s final press conference

MarketWatch reports: Update: Iran war is fueling a bond selloff ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s final press conference Iran war is fueling a bond selloff ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s final press conference

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 29, 2026

What’s happening at the Federal Reserve today.

New York Times - Business reports: Update: What’s happening at the Federal Reserve today. What’s happening at the Federal Reserve today.

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 29, 2026

Bitcoin, stocks risk 'months' of losses as Kevin Warsh Becomes Fed chair

Cointelegraph reports: Update: Bitcoin, stocks risk 'months' of losses as Kevin Warsh Becomes Fed chair Bitcoin, stocks risk 'months' of losses as Kevin Warsh Becomes Fed chair

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 29, 2026

What to Watch at the Federal Reserve’s April Meeting

New York Times - Business reports: Update: What to Watch at the Federal Reserve’s April Meeting What to Watch at the Federal Reserve’s April Meeting

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 29, 2026

Senate panel to advance Trump’s pick for Federal Reserve chief

Washington Post - Business reports: Update: Senate panel to advance Trump’s pick for Federal Reserve chief Senate panel to advance Trump’s pick for Federal Reserve chief

Federal Reserve+1 sources