Macro & Policy Decisions

Federal Reserve decisions, trade policy, tariffs, and geopolitical events that drive prediction market activity.

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Macro & Policy Decisions

5d ago

Divides on display in Illinois Democratic primaries

The Hill reports: Update: Divides on display in Illinois Democratic primaries Divides on display in Illinois Democratic primaries

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Election & Political Contracts

6d ago

Fed Minutes Show No Rush to Restart Rate Cuts

Ruling: Fed Minutes Show No Rush to Restart Rate Cuts Fed Minutes Show No Rush to Restart Rate Cuts

Federal Reserve+6 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

6d ago

Trump administration asks judge to revisit ruling blocking subpoenas to Fed's Powell - Reuters

Reuters Legal reports: Ruling: Trump administration asks judge to revisit ruling blocking subpoenas to Fed's Powell - Reuters Trump administration asks judge to revisit ruling blocking subpoenas to Fed's Powell - Reuters

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations

6d ago

Court Papers Show Powell to Stay at Fed If Probe Continues - Bloomberg.com

Bloomberg reports: Update: Court Papers Show Powell to Stay at Fed If Probe Continues - Bloomberg.com Court Papers Show Powell to Stay at Fed If Probe Continues - Bloomberg.com

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations Election & Political Contracts

6d ago

GOP senator skewers Noem over DHS's lack of responsiveness

Axios reports: Update: GOP senator skewers Noem over DHS's lack of responsiveness GOP senator skewers Noem over DHS's lack of responsiveness

Federal Reserve+3 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions State Regulator Crackdowns Election & Political Contracts

Mar 16, 2026

Fed headlines central bank rate decisions, Gemini earnings: Crypto Week Ahead

Ruling: Fed headlines central bank rate decisions, Gemini earnings: Crypto Week Ahead Fed headlines central bank rate decisions, Gemini earnings: Crypto Week Ahead

Gnosis+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 16, 2026

Iran War Risks Sharpening Fed Divisions Over Rate Cuts

New York Times - Business reports: Update: Iran War Risks Sharpening Fed Divisions Over Rate Cuts Iran War Risks Sharpening Fed Divisions Over Rate Cuts

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 14, 2026

Federal Reserve turned to Biden special prosecutor in DOJ subpoena fight - Reuters

Reuters Legal reports: Update: Federal Reserve turned to Biden special prosecutor in DOJ subpoena fight - Reuters Federal Reserve turned to Biden special prosecutor in DOJ subpoena fight - Reuters

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations

Mar 14, 2026

Justice Dept. Legal Threat Complicates Trump’s Pick for Fed Chair

New York Times - Business reports: Update: Justice Dept. Legal Threat Complicates Trump’s Pick for Fed Chair Justice Dept. Legal Threat Complicates Trump’s Pick for Fed Chair

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 14, 2026

Judge Rejects Subpoenas of Fed in Powell Case, DOJ to Appeal

Bloomberg Law reports: Ruling: Judge Rejects Subpoenas of Fed in Powell Case, DOJ to Appeal Judge Rejects Subpoenas of Fed in Powell Case, DOJ to Appeal

Federal Reserve+2 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations

Mar 13, 2026

Pirro’s Defiant Streak on Display in Case Against Fed’s Powell

Bloomberg Law reports: Ruling: Pirro’s Defiant Streak on Display in Case Against Fed’s Powell Pirro’s Defiant Streak on Display in Case Against Fed’s Powell

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations

Mar 13, 2026

Judge quashes grand jury subpoenas of Fed, Jerome Powell in renovations probe

Enforcement: Judge quashes grand jury subpoenas of Fed, Jerome Powell in renovations probe Judge quashes grand jury subpoenas of Fed, Jerome Powell in renovations probe

Federal Reserve+3 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Crypto Prediction Markets

Mar 13, 2026

U.S. sanctions network that allegedly laundered $800 million in crypto for North Korea

CoinDesk reports: Update: U.S. sanctions network that allegedly laundered $800 million in crypto for North Korea U.S. sanctions network that allegedly laundered $800 million in crypto for North Korea

Federal Reserve+1 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations

Mar 13, 2026

Judge blocks probe of Federal Reserve in victory for bank

Ruling: Judge blocks probe of Federal Reserve in victory for bank Judge blocks probe of Federal Reserve in victory for bank

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 13, 2026

Judge Quashes Justice Dept.’s Subpoenas Targeting Federal Reserve Chair

New York Times - Business reports: Update: Judge Quashes Justice Dept.’s Subpoenas Targeting Federal Reserve Chair Judge Quashes Justice Dept.’s Subpoenas Targeting Federal Reserve Chair

Federal Reserve+1 sources