Macro & Policy Decisions

Federal Reserve decisions, trade policy, tariffs, and geopolitical events that drive prediction market activity.

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Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Federal Litigation - District Courts Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 13, 2026

Legal Update – January 2026 | Better Markets

Enforcement: Legal Update – January 2026 | Better Markets Legal Update – January 2026 | Better Markets

Second Circuit+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Election & Political Contracts Institutional & Platform Moves

Mar 13, 2026

Trump’s New Federal Reserve Chair Must Not Listen to Trump and Kill the American Dream | Better Markets

Better Markets reports: Ruling: Trump’s New Federal Reserve Chair Must Not Listen to Trump and Kill the American Dream | Better Markets Trump’s New Federal Reserve Chair Must Not Listen to Trump and Kill the American Dream | Better Markets

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Crypto Prediction Markets

Mar 13, 2026

Fed Payment Accounts Are a Giveaway to the Crypto Industry | Better Markets

Primary document: Fed Payment Accounts Are a Giveaway to the Crypto Industry | Better Markets Fed Payment Accounts Are a Giveaway to the Crypto Industry | Better Markets

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Election & Political Contracts

Mar 13, 2026

Federal Reserve’s Gutted Stress Tests Will Be a Charade After Proposal Gives Wall Street’s Biggest Most Dangerous Banks the Test Answers | Better Markets

Primary document: Federal Reserve’s Gutted Stress Tests Will Be a Charade After Proposal Gives Wall Street’s Biggest Most Dangerous Banks the Test Answers | Better Markets Federal Reserve’s Gutted Stress Tests Will Be a Charade After Proposal Gives Wall Street’s Biggest Most Dangerous Banks the Test Answers | Better Markets

Federal Reserve+2 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 13, 2026

Senior Federal Reserve and SEC Staff Join Better Markets | Better Markets

Better Markets reports: Update: Senior Federal Reserve and SEC Staff Join Better Markets | Better Markets Senior Federal Reserve and SEC Staff Join Better Markets | Better Markets

Federal Reserve+2 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations State Regulator Crackdowns

Mar 13, 2026

Anti-Transparency Federal Reserve Termination of Wells Fargo Enforcement Action Is a Disservice to the American People | Better Markets

Enforcement: Anti-Transparency Federal Reserve Termination of Wells Fargo Enforcement Action Is a Disservice to the American People | Better Markets Anti-Transparency Federal Reserve Termination of Wells Fargo Enforcement Action Is a Disservice to the American People | Better Markets

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 13, 2026

Kevin Warsh’s Dilemma as Fed Chair Nominee Amid Iran War

New York Times - Business reports: Update: Kevin Warsh’s Dilemma as Fed Chair Nominee Amid Iran War Kevin Warsh’s Dilemma as Fed Chair Nominee Amid Iran War

Federal Reserve+1 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Macro & Policy Decisions Crypto Prediction Markets

Mar 13, 2026

Bitcoiner Group to Fight Bitcoin’s Treatment as ‘Toxic Asset’

Cointelegraph reports: Update: Bitcoiner Group to Fight Bitcoin’s Treatment as ‘Toxic Asset’ Bitcoiner Group to Fight Bitcoin’s Treatment as ‘Toxic Asset’

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 12, 2026

Powell called these 13 lawmakers as DOJ opened criminal probe

The Hill reports: Update: Powell called these 13 lawmakers as DOJ opened criminal probe Powell called these 13 lawmakers as DOJ opened criminal probe

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 12, 2026

Federal Reserve to loosen capital requirements for big US banks

Financial Times reports: Update: Federal Reserve to loosen capital requirements for big US banks Federal Reserve to loosen capital requirements for big US banks

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 12, 2026

Fed’s Plan Tied to Basel On Track for End of First Quarter (1)

Bloomberg Law reports: Update: Fed’s Plan Tied to Basel On Track for End of First Quarter (1) Fed’s Plan Tied to Basel On Track for End of First Quarter (1)

Federal Reserve+2 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 12, 2026

Banking Regulators Plan to Ease Some Capital Requirements

New York Times - Business reports: Update: Banking Regulators Plan to Ease Some Capital Requirements Banking Regulators Plan to Ease Some Capital Requirements

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Federal Litigation - District Courts Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 12, 2026

Costco sued by shopper in potential tariff class action case

The Hill reports: Filing: Costco sued by shopper in potential tariff class action case Costco sued by shopper in potential tariff class action case

Supreme Court+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Election & Political Contracts Crypto Prediction Markets

Mar 12, 2026

Republicans Could Hold Up Housing Bill Over CBDC Ban

Cointelegraph reports: Update: Republicans Could Hold Up Housing Bill Over CBDC Ban Republicans Could Hold Up Housing Bill Over CBDC Ban

Federal Reserve+2 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions State Regulator Crackdowns

Mar 12, 2026

Trump tariffs: Martin Heinrich bill would give families tax rebate for higher import costs

Filing: Trump tariffs: Martin Heinrich bill would give families tax rebate for higher import costs Trump tariffs: Martin Heinrich bill would give families tax rebate for higher import costs

Omen+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations State Regulator Crackdowns

Mar 12, 2026

China's economic ambitions hit limits to growth as its national congress meets

Ruling: China's economic ambitions hit limits to growth as its national congress meets China's economic ambitions hit limits to growth as its national congress meets

UMA Protocol+2 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Sports Event Contracts Election & Political Contracts

Mar 12, 2026

Prediction Market OpenClaw Practical Guide Part 1: Monitoring, Analysis, and Risk Management | MEXC News

Ruling: Prediction Market OpenClaw Practical Guide Part 1: Monitoring, Analysis, and Risk Management | MEXC News Prediction Market OpenClaw Practical Guide Part 1: Monitoring, Analysis, and Risk Management | MEXC News

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 12, 2026

Trump’s Well-Stocked Tariff Toolkit Demands Importers’ Attention

Ruling: Trump’s Well-Stocked Tariff Toolkit Demands Importers’ Attention Trump’s Well-Stocked Tariff Toolkit Demands Importers’ Attention

Chainlink+28 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 12, 2026

U.S. trading partners cheer Supreme Court tariff ruling — but businesses must still navigate 'murky waters'

CNBC reports: Ruling: U.S. trading partners cheer Supreme Court tariff ruling — but businesses must still navigate 'murky waters' U.S. trading partners cheer Supreme Court tariff ruling — but businesses must still navigate 'murky waters'

Supreme Court+22 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 11, 2026

Bessent says global 15% tariff starts this week, move back to prior rates within 5 months

Ruling: Bessent says global 15% tariff starts this week, move back to prior rates within 5 months Bessent says global 15% tariff starts this week, move back to prior rates within 5 months

Supreme Court+4 sources

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