Macro & Policy Decisions

Federal Reserve decisions, trade policy, tariffs, and geopolitical events that drive prediction market activity.

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Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

Feb 26, 2026

Gillibrand wants $130B tariff refund for Americans

The Hill reports: Update: Gillibrand wants $130B tariff refund for Americans Gillibrand wants $130B tariff refund for Americans

Supreme Court+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions State Regulator Crackdowns

Feb 26, 2026

Analysis: Supreme Court tariff reversal cements China’s upper hand ahead of a critical meeting with Trump | CNN Business

CNN Business reports: Ruling: Analysis: Supreme Court tariff reversal cements China’s upper hand ahead of a critical meeting with Trump | CNN Business Analysis: Supreme Court tariff reversal cements China’s upper hand ahead of a critical meeting with Trump | CNN Business

Chainlink+2 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

Feb 26, 2026

Tariff rate for some nations will rise to 15 percent: Trade representative

The Hill reports: Ruling: Tariff rate for some nations will rise to 15 percent: Trade representative Tariff rate for some nations will rise to 15 percent: Trade representative

Supreme Court+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Feb 25, 2026

Government Bonds’ Shrinking Appeal Has Cost, New York Fed Says

Bloomberg Law reports: Update: Government Bonds’ Shrinking Appeal Has Cost, New York Fed Says Government Bonds’ Shrinking Appeal Has Cost, New York Fed Says

Federal Reserve+1 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

Feb 25, 2026

Steve Madden won’t give profit guidance as planned due to Supreme Court tariff ruling

MarketWatch reports: Ruling: Steve Madden won’t give profit guidance as planned due to Supreme Court tariff ruling Steve Madden won’t give profit guidance as planned due to Supreme Court tariff ruling

Supreme Court+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

Feb 25, 2026

Congress must define a new 21st century tariff doctrine

The Hill reports: Update: Congress must define a new 21st century tariff doctrine Congress must define a new 21st century tariff doctrine

Supreme Court+1 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

Feb 25, 2026

Attorneys describe ‘chaotic’ situation after SCOTUS tariffs decision

Filing: Attorneys describe ‘chaotic’ situation after SCOTUS tariffs decision Attorneys describe ‘chaotic’ situation after SCOTUS tariffs decision

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations Institutional & Platform Moves

Feb 25, 2026

Tokenized US Treasury Market Surges by $1B Since Beginning of Year

Cointelegraph reports: Enforcement: Tokenized US Treasury Market Surges by $1B Since Beginning of Year Tokenized US Treasury Market Surges by $1B Since Beginning of Year

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

Feb 25, 2026

NY governor calls for $13.5B in tariff refunds

The Hill reports: Update: NY governor calls for $13.5B in tariff refunds NY governor calls for $13.5B in tariff refunds

Supreme Court+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Sports Event Contracts Election & Political Contracts

Feb 25, 2026

How Federal Reserve changes will affect US gaming industry after chair change

iGaming Business reports: Enforcement: How Federal Reserve changes will affect US gaming industry after chair change How Federal Reserve changes will affect US gaming industry after chair change

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations

Feb 25, 2026

5 questions heading into Trump's State of the Union address

Associated Press reports: Enforcement: 5 questions heading into Trump's State of the Union address 5 questions heading into Trump's State of the Union address

Augur+3 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

Feb 25, 2026

Border Tax to Get Hearing After Supreme Court Tariff Ruling

Ruling: Border Tax to Get Hearing After Supreme Court Tariff Ruling Border Tax to Get Hearing After Supreme Court Tariff Ruling

Chainlink+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions Election & Political Contracts

Feb 25, 2026

Trump Softens Criticism of Supreme Court Over Tariff Ruling - Bloomberg.com

Bloomberg reports: Ruling: Trump Softens Criticism of Supreme Court Over Tariff Ruling - Bloomberg.com Trump Softens Criticism of Supreme Court Over Tariff Ruling - Bloomberg.com

Supreme Court+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

Feb 25, 2026

Prices investors will pay for tariff refund claims surge after Supreme Court decision - Reuters

Reuters Legal reports: Ruling: Prices investors will pay for tariff refund claims surge after Supreme Court decision - Reuters Prices investors will pay for tariff refund claims surge after Supreme Court decision - Reuters

Supreme Court+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions State Regulator Crackdowns

Feb 25, 2026

Trump promised to replace taxes with tariffs. Here's what it would cost

Primary document: Trump promised to replace taxes with tariffs. Here's what it would cost Trump promised to replace taxes with tariffs. Here's what it would cost

Treasury Department+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions State Regulator Crackdowns

Feb 24, 2026

Trump to Make Economic Pitch to Congress as Headwinds Grow (2)

Bloomberg Law reports: Ruling: Trump to Make Economic Pitch to Congress as Headwinds Grow (2) Trump to Make Economic Pitch to Congress as Headwinds Grow (2)

Omen+1 sources