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Macro & Policy Decisions

Federal Reserve decisions, trade policy, tariffs, and geopolitical events that drive prediction market activity.

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Axios·may 11, 2026
Primary

Johnson to address Senate Republicans amid escalating tensions

1 article · 1 primary doc · may 11, 2026
Cointelegraph·may 11, 2026
Primary

Bitcoin Juggles $120 Oil and Fed's 'Most Hawkish' Interest-Rate Pause

2 articles · 1 primary doc · may 11, 2026
CoinDesk·may 8, 2026
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U.S. added 115K jobs in April, nearly doubling expectations

1 article · 1 primary doc · may 8, 2026
New York Times - Business·may 8, 2026

Fed officials weigh stable jobs backdrop against rising inflation risks.

2 articles · may 8, 2026
Cointelegraph·may 8, 2026
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Kalshi Data Could Inform Fed Reserve Policy, Say Researchers

29 articles · 3 primary docs · may 8, 2026
Washington Post - Business·may 8, 2026
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Trade court rules against Trump’s global tariff

2 articles · 1 primary doc · may 8, 2026
Discovery Search·may 8, 2026
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Kalshi, the prediction market, is now valued at $22 billion - The Boston Globe

1 article · 1 primary doc · may 8, 2026
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