Macro & Policy Decisions

Federal Reserve decisions, trade policy, tariffs, and geopolitical events that drive prediction market activity.

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Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 8, 2026

Minutes of Federal Reserve’s March 17-18 Meeting: Text

Bloomberg Law reports: Update: Minutes of Federal Reserve’s March 17-18 Meeting: Text Minutes of Federal Reserve’s March 17-18 Meeting: Text

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 8, 2026

Fed Minutes Show Officials in No Rush to Cut as Iran War Scrambled Outlook

New York Times - Business reports: Update: Fed Minutes Show Officials in No Rush to Cut as Iran War Scrambled Outlook Fed Minutes Show Officials in No Rush to Cut as Iran War Scrambled Outlook

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 8, 2026

Many Fed officials think next move will be a rate cut, March meeting minutes show

MarketWatch reports: Update: Many Fed officials think next move will be a rate cut, March meeting minutes show Many Fed officials think next move will be a rate cut, March meeting minutes show

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Federal Litigation - District Courts Macro & Policy Decisions State Regulator Crackdowns

Apr 8, 2026

Fox Jumps Into Prediction Markets with Kalshi Integration

Ruling: Fox Jumps Into Prediction Markets with Kalshi Integration Fox Jumps Into Prediction Markets with Kalshi Integration

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 8, 2026

Interest rates are headed lower — real yields suggest a half-point Fed cut is coming

MarketWatch reports: Update: Interest rates are headed lower — real yields suggest a half-point Fed cut is coming Interest rates are headed lower — real yields suggest a half-point Fed cut is coming

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch State AG & Consumer Protection Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 8, 2026

SCOTUStoday for Friday, April 3

Ruling: SCOTUStoday for Friday, April 3 SCOTUStoday for Friday, April 3

Federal Reserve+3 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Institutional & Platform Moves Crypto Prediction Markets

Apr 8, 2026

Sygnum: Iran War Bets Put Crypto Prediction Markets on the Macro Map

Cointelegraph reports: Update: Sygnum: Iran War Bets Put Crypto Prediction Markets on the Macro Map Sygnum: Iran War Bets Put Crypto Prediction Markets on the Macro Map

Chainlink+2 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 7, 2026

How the Iran war affects Americans' inflation expectations

Axios reports: Update: How the Iran war affects Americans' inflation expectations How the Iran war affects Americans' inflation expectations

Federal Reserve+1 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 7, 2026

Levi Strauss revenue jumps again, with DTC making up more than half of sales for the first time

CNBC reports: Update: Levi Strauss revenue jumps again, with DTC making up more than half of sales for the first time Levi Strauss revenue jumps again, with DTC making up more than half of sales for the first time

Omen+1 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 7, 2026

Webinar: The Economy, the New Fed Chair, Capital, and You | Better Markets

Better Markets reports: Update: Webinar: The Economy, the New Fed Chair, Capital, and You | Better Markets Webinar: The Economy, the New Fed Chair, Capital, and You | Better Markets

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Election & Political Contracts

Apr 6, 2026

JPMorgan CEO Dimon: Iran war could reignite inflation and keep Fed rates higher for longer

Ruling: JPMorgan CEO Dimon: Iran war could reignite inflation and keep Fed rates higher for longer JPMorgan CEO Dimon: Iran war could reignite inflation and keep Fed rates higher for longer

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 5, 2026

April is usually a strong month for stocks — but three factors now jeopardize the market rebound

MarketWatch reports: Update: April is usually a strong month for stocks — but three factors now jeopardize the market rebound April is usually a strong month for stocks — but three factors now jeopardize the market rebound

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 3, 2026

Judge Rejects Subpoenas of Fed in Powell Case, DOJ to Appeal

Bloomberg Law reports: Ruling: Judge Rejects Subpoenas of Fed in Powell Case, DOJ to Appeal Judge Rejects Subpoenas of Fed in Powell Case, DOJ to Appeal

Federal Reserve+3 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions State Regulator Crackdowns

Apr 3, 2026

Call it America's yo-yo job market

Axios reports: Update: Call it America's yo-yo job market Call it America's yo-yo job market

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 3, 2026

Stock futures and bitcoin slip, Treasury yields climb, as hot jobs report raises more questions about Fed rate cuts

MarketWatch reports: Update: Stock futures and bitcoin slip, Treasury yields climb, as hot jobs report raises more questions about Fed rate cuts Stock futures and bitcoin slip, Treasury yields climb, as hot jobs report raises more questions about Fed rate cuts

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 3, 2026

U.S. economy adds stronger-than-expected 178,000 jobs in March

Axios reports: Update: U.S. economy adds stronger-than-expected 178,000 jobs in March U.S. economy adds stronger-than-expected 178,000 jobs in March

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Apr 3, 2026

The Iran war has forced the Fed back to wait-and-see mode.

New York Times - Business reports: Update: The Iran war has forced the Fed back to wait-and-see mode. The Iran war has forced the Fed back to wait-and-see mode.

Federal Reserve+2 sources