Macro & Policy Decisions

Federal Reserve decisions, trade policy, tariffs, and geopolitical events that drive prediction market activity.

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Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 31, 2026

Federal Reserve Must Not Take Anti-Consumer and Anti-Community Bank Actions as It Considers Reductions to Check Services

Better Markets reports: Update: Federal Reserve Must Not Take Anti-Consumer and Anti-Community Bank Actions as It Considers Reductions to Check Services Federal Reserve Must Not Take Anti-Consumer and Anti-Community Bank Actions as It Considers Reductions to Check Services

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 31, 2026

Better Markets Condemns Federal Reserve and OCC Shocking Dangerous Approval of Morgan Stanley’s Risky Trading Structure

Better Markets reports: Ruling: Better Markets Condemns Federal Reserve and OCC Shocking Dangerous Approval of Morgan Stanley’s Risky Trading Structure Better Markets Condemns Federal Reserve and OCC Shocking Dangerous Approval of Morgan Stanley’s Risky Trading Structure

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 30, 2026

Fed’s Williams Says Policy Well Positioned Amid Supply Shock - Bloomberg.com

Bloomberg reports: Update: Fed’s Williams Says Policy Well Positioned Amid Supply Shock - Bloomberg.com Fed’s Williams Says Policy Well Positioned Amid Supply Shock - Bloomberg.com

Federal Reserve+1 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Macro & Policy Decisions Sports Event Contracts

Mar 30, 2026

Kalshi, Polymarket Combine for $17.9B February Volume as Polymarket Closes Gap

Enforcement: Kalshi, Polymarket Combine for $17.9B February Volume as Polymarket Closes Gap Kalshi, Polymarket Combine for $17.9B February Volume as Polymarket Closes Gap

Omen+7 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions State Regulator Crackdowns

Mar 27, 2026

Trump's name is headed to dollar bills as cash use continues to decline

Primary document: Trump's name is headed to dollar bills as cash use continues to decline Trump's name is headed to dollar bills as cash use continues to decline

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations Institutional & Platform Moves

Mar 27, 2026

White House launches app touting Trump's record, with some key omissions

Enforcement: White House launches app touting Trump's record, with some key omissions White House launches app touting Trump's record, with some key omissions

Omen+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 27, 2026

Resurgent Inflation Tests Faith in Fed’s Willingness to Tame It

New York Times - Business reports: Update: Resurgent Inflation Tests Faith in Fed’s Willingness to Tame It Resurgent Inflation Tests Faith in Fed’s Willingness to Tame It

Federal Reserve+1 sources

State AG & Consumer Protection Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations

Mar 27, 2026

US Lawmaker Wants Answers About Kraken’s Fed Master Account Approval

Cointelegraph reports: Filing: US Lawmaker Wants Answers About Kraken’s Fed Master Account Approval US Lawmaker Wants Answers About Kraken’s Fed Master Account Approval

Federal Reserve+1 sources

State AG & Consumer Protection Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations

Mar 26, 2026

Prediction Markets vs. Options: In the face of a market crash, Kalshi can't save your position. | MEXC News

Discovery Search reports: Enforcement: Prediction Markets vs. Options: In the face of a market crash, Kalshi can't save your position. | MEXC News Prediction Markets vs. Options: In the face of a market crash, Kalshi can't save your position. | MEXC News

UMA Protocol+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Sports Event Contracts CFTC Enforcement & Investigations

Mar 26, 2026

Opinion: I ran a prediction market in Canada. This is why I’m skeptical about them today

Discovery Search reports: Enforcement: Opinion: I ran a prediction market in Canada. This is why I’m skeptical about them today Opinion: I ran a prediction market in Canada. This is why I’m skeptical about them today

Omen+4 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 25, 2026

Fed’s Miran Says He Raised Rate Projection Due to Inflation Data

Bloomberg Law reports: Update: Fed’s Miran Says He Raised Rate Projection Due to Inflation Data Fed’s Miran Says He Raised Rate Projection Due to Inflation Data

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations

Mar 25, 2026

Federal Reserve Makes Next Move in Battle Over DOJ Subpoenas

Ruling: Federal Reserve Makes Next Move in Battle Over DOJ Subpoenas Federal Reserve Makes Next Move in Battle Over DOJ Subpoenas

Federal Reserve+1 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 25, 2026

As March Madness unfolds, NY Fed highlights sports betting toll on consumer credit health

Enforcement: As March Madness unfolds, NY Fed highlights sports betting toll on consumer credit health As March Madness unfolds, NY Fed highlights sports betting toll on consumer credit health

Omen+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 25, 2026

Citrini made a famous call about AI. The new bet is that the market is wrong on the Fed.

MarketWatch reports: Update: Citrini made a famous call about AI. The new bet is that the market is wrong on the Fed. Citrini made a famous call about AI. The new bet is that the market is wrong on the Fed.

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 24, 2026

Fed Aims to Speed Up Bank Merger Reviews With Better Tracking

Bloomberg Law reports: Update: Fed Aims to Speed Up Bank Merger Reviews With Better Tracking Fed Aims to Speed Up Bank Merger Reviews With Better Tracking

Federal Reserve+1 sources