Macro & Policy Decisions

Federal Reserve decisions, trade policy, tariffs, and geopolitical events that drive prediction market activity.

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Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

Feb 20, 2026

Schumer hails Supreme Court tariff ruling as ‘a win for the wallets’ of Americans

The Hill reports: Ruling: Schumer hails Supreme Court tariff ruling as ‘a win for the wallets’ of Americans Schumer hails Supreme Court tariff ruling as ‘a win for the wallets’ of Americans

Supreme Court+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

Feb 20, 2026

Lead attorney in Trump tariff challenge lauds Supreme Court ruling

The Hill reports: Ruling: Lead attorney in Trump tariff challenge lauds Supreme Court ruling Lead attorney in Trump tariff challenge lauds Supreme Court ruling

Supreme Court+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

Feb 20, 2026

Trump tells governors Supreme Court tariff decision is a ‘disgrace’

The Hill reports: Ruling: Trump tells governors Supreme Court tariff decision is a ‘disgrace’ Trump tells governors Supreme Court tariff decision is a ‘disgrace’

Supreme Court+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions Institutional & Platform Moves

Feb 20, 2026

Warren calls for tariff refund for consumers after Supreme Court ruling

The Hill reports: Ruling: Warren calls for tariff refund for consumers after Supreme Court ruling Warren calls for tariff refund for consumers after Supreme Court ruling

Supreme Court+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions Institutional & Platform Moves

Feb 20, 2026

Rand Paul lauds Supreme Court tariff decision: ‘In defense of our Republic’

The Hill reports: Ruling: Rand Paul lauds Supreme Court tariff decision: ‘In defense of our Republic’ Rand Paul lauds Supreme Court tariff decision: ‘In defense of our Republic’

Supreme Court+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions State Regulator Crackdowns

Feb 20, 2026

Polymarket and Kalshi are violating laws in all 50 states, says Chris Christie

Discovery Search reports: Ruling: Polymarket and Kalshi are violating laws in all 50 states, says Chris Christie Polymarket and Kalshi are violating laws in all 50 states, says Chris Christie

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

Feb 20, 2026

Will the U.S. give tariff refunds after the Supreme Court decision? What we know so far.

MarketWatch reports: Ruling: Will the U.S. give tariff refunds after the Supreme Court decision? What we know so far. Will the U.S. give tariff refunds after the Supreme Court decision? What we know so far.

Supreme Court+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

Feb 20, 2026

What Trump's tariff loss means for his agenda

Axios reports: Ruling: What Trump's tariff loss means for his agenda What Trump's tariff loss means for his agenda

Supreme Court+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

Feb 20, 2026

Supreme Court Schedules Opinions on Feb. 20 as Tariff Case Looms

Bloomberg Law reports: Ruling: Supreme Court Schedules Opinions on Feb. 20 as Tariff Case Looms Supreme Court Schedules Opinions on Feb. 20 as Tariff Case Looms

Federal Reserve+5 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Institutional & Platform Moves Crypto Prediction Markets

Feb 20, 2026

Fed’s Neel Kashkari Says Crypto ‘Utterly Useless’

Cointelegraph reports: Update: Fed’s Neel Kashkari Says Crypto ‘Utterly Useless’ Fed’s Neel Kashkari Says Crypto ‘Utterly Useless’

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Feb 19, 2026

Kashkari Rips Hassett Criticism of NY Fed Tariff Analysis (2)

Bloomberg Law reports: Update: Kashkari Rips Hassett Criticism of NY Fed Tariff Analysis (2) Kashkari Rips Hassett Criticism of NY Fed Tariff Analysis (2)

Federal Reserve+2 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

Feb 19, 2026

How the Supreme Court's ruling on Trump's tariffs could impact consumer stocks

CNBC reports: Ruling: How the Supreme Court's ruling on Trump's tariffs could impact consumer stocks How the Supreme Court's ruling on Trump's tariffs could impact consumer stocks

Supreme Court+1 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Macro & Policy Decisions Crypto Prediction Markets

Feb 19, 2026

Sen. Warren tells Fed and Treasury: No bailout for crypto billionaires

Ruling: Sen. Warren tells Fed and Treasury: No bailout for crypto billionaires Sen. Warren tells Fed and Treasury: No bailout for crypto billionaires

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

Feb 19, 2026

Section 301 won’t save Trump’s tariffs if the Supreme Court strikes them down

The Hill reports: Update: Section 301 won’t save Trump’s tariffs if the Supreme Court strikes them down Section 301 won’t save Trump’s tariffs if the Supreme Court strikes them down

Supreme Court+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Federal Litigation - District Courts Macro & Policy Decisions

Feb 19, 2026

Toy firms look to US Supreme Court as tariffs keep them on edge

Filing: Toy firms look to US Supreme Court as tariffs keep them on edge Toy firms look to US Supreme Court as tariffs keep them on edge

Omen+2 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Feb 19, 2026

Why the Fed could deliver one final sting to your portfolio before Powell’s exit in May

MarketWatch reports: Update: Why the Fed could deliver one final sting to your portfolio before Powell’s exit in May Why the Fed could deliver one final sting to your portfolio before Powell’s exit in May

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Feb 19, 2026

The Federal Reserve Could Embrace Prediction Markets - inc.com

Discovery Search reports: Ruling: The Federal Reserve Could Embrace Prediction Markets - inc.com The Federal Reserve Could Embrace Prediction Markets - inc.com

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

Feb 19, 2026

Hassett says New York Fed staff should be disciplined over study finding Americans paid for Trump’s tariffs

MarketWatch reports: Ruling: Hassett says New York Fed staff should be disciplined over study finding Americans paid for Trump’s tariffs Hassett says New York Fed staff should be disciplined over study finding Americans paid for Trump’s tariffs

Federal Reserve+2 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Feb 18, 2026

Hassett: Fed researchers should be punished for Trump tariff analysis

The Hill reports: Update: Hassett: Fed researchers should be punished for Trump tariff analysis Hassett: Fed researchers should be punished for Trump tariff analysis

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Election & Political Contracts Institutional & Platform Moves

Feb 18, 2026

Polymarket courts Chinese users despite strict online gambling ban

Discovery Search reports: Ruling: Polymarket courts Chinese users despite strict online gambling ban Polymarket courts Chinese users despite strict online gambling ban

Federal Reserve+2 sources

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