Macro & Policy Decisions

Federal Reserve decisions, trade policy, tariffs, and geopolitical events that drive prediction market activity.

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Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 18, 2026

As Iran war heightens affordability issues, don't expect the Fed to 'ride in and save the day,' analyst says

Ruling: As Iran war heightens affordability issues, don't expect the Fed to 'ride in and save the day,' analyst says As Iran war heightens affordability issues, don't expect the Fed to 'ride in and save the day,' analyst says

Omen+2 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Election & Political Contracts

Mar 18, 2026

The Fed to meet about interest rates. And, Sen. Mullin faces DHS confirmation hearing - NPR

Discovery Search reports: Update: The Fed to meet about interest rates. And, Sen. Mullin faces DHS confirmation hearing - NPR The Fed to meet about interest rates. And, Sen. Mullin faces DHS confirmation hearing - NPR

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 18, 2026

$7.5M on one FOMC outcome

Reddit r/Polymarket reports: Update: $7.5M on one FOMC outcome $7.5M on one FOMC outcome

Federal Reserve+1 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 18, 2026

How to read the Fed’s projections like a pro.

New York Times - Business reports: Update: How to read the Fed’s projections like a pro. How to read the Fed’s projections like a pro.

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 18, 2026

Two Measures, Two Stories About Inflation

New York Times - Business reports: Update: Two Measures, Two Stories About Inflation Two Measures, Two Stories About Inflation

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 18, 2026

What to Watch at the Federal Reserve’s March Meeting

New York Times - Business reports: Update: What to Watch at the Federal Reserve’s March Meeting What to Watch at the Federal Reserve’s March Meeting

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions State Regulator Crackdowns

Mar 17, 2026

What $5 diesel fuel means for the U.S. economy

Axios reports: Update: What $5 diesel fuel means for the U.S. economy What $5 diesel fuel means for the U.S. economy

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 17, 2026

Trader "crazyary" bets big on Fed rates staying unchanged after April FOMC

Reddit r/Polymarket reports: Update: Trader "crazyary" bets big on Fed rates staying unchanged after April FOMC Trader "crazyary" bets big on Fed rates staying unchanged after April FOMC

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Federal Litigation - District Courts Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 17, 2026

SCOTUStoday for Wednesday, February 4

Filing: SCOTUStoday for Wednesday, February 4 SCOTUStoday for Wednesday, February 4

Federal Reserve+7 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations Institutional & Platform Moves

Mar 17, 2026

Polymarket bettors send death threats to reporter over missile report tied to $14 million prediction market pool

Discovery Search reports: Update: Polymarket bettors send death threats to reporter over missile report tied to $14 million prediction market pool Polymarket bettors send death threats to reporter over missile report tied to $14 million prediction market pool

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Election & Political Contracts

Mar 17, 2026

Fed officials huddle under pressure from Iran war, Trump’s rage

The Hill reports: Update: Fed officials huddle under pressure from Iran war, Trump’s rage Fed officials huddle under pressure from Iran war, Trump’s rage

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 17, 2026

Divides on display in Illinois Democratic primaries

The Hill reports: Update: Divides on display in Illinois Democratic primaries Divides on display in Illinois Democratic primaries

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Election & Political Contracts

Mar 17, 2026

Fed Minutes Show No Rush to Restart Rate Cuts

Ruling: Fed Minutes Show No Rush to Restart Rate Cuts Fed Minutes Show No Rush to Restart Rate Cuts

Federal Reserve+6 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 16, 2026

Trump administration asks judge to revisit ruling blocking subpoenas to Fed's Powell - Reuters

Reuters Legal reports: Ruling: Trump administration asks judge to revisit ruling blocking subpoenas to Fed's Powell - Reuters Trump administration asks judge to revisit ruling blocking subpoenas to Fed's Powell - Reuters

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations

Mar 16, 2026

Court Papers Show Powell to Stay at Fed If Probe Continues - Bloomberg.com

Bloomberg reports: Update: Court Papers Show Powell to Stay at Fed If Probe Continues - Bloomberg.com Court Papers Show Powell to Stay at Fed If Probe Continues - Bloomberg.com

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations Election & Political Contracts

Mar 16, 2026

GOP senator skewers Noem over DHS's lack of responsiveness

Axios reports: Update: GOP senator skewers Noem over DHS's lack of responsiveness GOP senator skewers Noem over DHS's lack of responsiveness

Federal Reserve+3 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions State Regulator Crackdowns Election & Political Contracts

Mar 16, 2026

Fed headlines central bank rate decisions, Gemini earnings: Crypto Week Ahead

Ruling: Fed headlines central bank rate decisions, Gemini earnings: Crypto Week Ahead Fed headlines central bank rate decisions, Gemini earnings: Crypto Week Ahead

Gnosis+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 16, 2026

Iran War Risks Sharpening Fed Divisions Over Rate Cuts

New York Times - Business reports: Update: Iran War Risks Sharpening Fed Divisions Over Rate Cuts Iran War Risks Sharpening Fed Divisions Over Rate Cuts

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 14, 2026

Federal Reserve turned to Biden special prosecutor in DOJ subpoena fight - Reuters

Reuters Legal reports: Update: Federal Reserve turned to Biden special prosecutor in DOJ subpoena fight - Reuters Federal Reserve turned to Biden special prosecutor in DOJ subpoena fight - Reuters

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations

Mar 14, 2026

Justice Dept. Legal Threat Complicates Trump’s Pick for Fed Chair

New York Times - Business reports: Update: Justice Dept. Legal Threat Complicates Trump’s Pick for Fed Chair Justice Dept. Legal Threat Complicates Trump’s Pick for Fed Chair

Federal Reserve+1 sources

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