Macro & Policy Decisions

Federal Reserve decisions, trade policy, tariffs, and geopolitical events that drive prediction market activity.

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Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations

Mar 13, 2026

Pirro’s Defiant Streak on Display in Case Against Fed’s Powell

Bloomberg Law reports: Ruling: Pirro’s Defiant Streak on Display in Case Against Fed’s Powell Pirro’s Defiant Streak on Display in Case Against Fed’s Powell

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations

Mar 13, 2026

Judge quashes grand jury subpoenas of Fed, Jerome Powell in renovations probe

Enforcement: Judge quashes grand jury subpoenas of Fed, Jerome Powell in renovations probe Judge quashes grand jury subpoenas of Fed, Jerome Powell in renovations probe

Federal Reserve+3 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Crypto Prediction Markets

Mar 13, 2026

U.S. sanctions network that allegedly laundered $800 million in crypto for North Korea

CoinDesk reports: Update: U.S. sanctions network that allegedly laundered $800 million in crypto for North Korea U.S. sanctions network that allegedly laundered $800 million in crypto for North Korea

Federal Reserve+1 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations

Mar 13, 2026

Judge blocks probe of Federal Reserve in victory for bank

Ruling: Judge blocks probe of Federal Reserve in victory for bank Judge blocks probe of Federal Reserve in victory for bank

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 13, 2026

Judge Quashes Justice Dept.’s Subpoenas Targeting Federal Reserve Chair

New York Times - Business reports: Update: Judge Quashes Justice Dept.’s Subpoenas Targeting Federal Reserve Chair Judge Quashes Justice Dept.’s Subpoenas Targeting Federal Reserve Chair

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations State Regulator Crackdowns

Mar 13, 2026

Live updates: Senate fails to advance DHS funding; Iranian leader vows Strait of Hormuz will stay closed

Enforcement: Live updates: Senate fails to advance DHS funding; Iranian leader vows Strait of Hormuz will stay closed Live updates: Senate fails to advance DHS funding; Iranian leader vows Strait of Hormuz will stay closed

Omen+2 sources

Federal Litigation - District Courts Macro & Policy Decisions Institutional & Platform Moves

Mar 13, 2026

Trump’s CFPB Must Continue Requesting Fed Funds, Court Rules

Ruling: Trump’s CFPB Must Continue Requesting Fed Funds, Court Rules Trump’s CFPB Must Continue Requesting Fed Funds, Court Rules

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations Election & Political Contracts

Mar 13, 2026

Thom Tillis refuses to budge on blocking Fed chair pick Kevin Warsh confirmation

CNBC reports: Update: Thom Tillis refuses to budge on blocking Fed chair pick Kevin Warsh confirmation Thom Tillis refuses to budge on blocking Fed chair pick Kevin Warsh confirmation

Omen+3 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations Crypto Prediction Markets

Mar 13, 2026

Hill Update – February 2026 | Better Markets

Ruling: Hill Update – February 2026 | Better Markets Hill Update – February 2026 | Better Markets

Federal Reserve+3 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations Institutional & Platform Moves

Mar 13, 2026

Master of Distraction: Trump’s Attack on the Federal Reserve Should Not Divert from His Failed Economic Policies Hurting Main Street Americans | Better Markets

Better Markets reports: Update: Master of Distraction: Trump’s Attack on the Federal Reserve Should Not Divert from His Failed Economic Policies Hurting Main Street Americans | Better Markets Master of Distraction: Trump’s Attack on the Federal Reserve Should Not Divert from His Failed Economic Policies Hurting Main Street Americans | Better Markets

Tally+1 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Federal Litigation - District Courts Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 13, 2026

Legal Update – January 2026 | Better Markets

Enforcement: Legal Update – January 2026 | Better Markets Legal Update – January 2026 | Better Markets

Second Circuit+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Election & Political Contracts Institutional & Platform Moves

Mar 13, 2026

Trump’s New Federal Reserve Chair Must Not Listen to Trump and Kill the American Dream | Better Markets

Better Markets reports: Ruling: Trump’s New Federal Reserve Chair Must Not Listen to Trump and Kill the American Dream | Better Markets Trump’s New Federal Reserve Chair Must Not Listen to Trump and Kill the American Dream | Better Markets

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Crypto Prediction Markets

Mar 13, 2026

Fed Payment Accounts Are a Giveaway to the Crypto Industry | Better Markets

Primary document: Fed Payment Accounts Are a Giveaway to the Crypto Industry | Better Markets Fed Payment Accounts Are a Giveaway to the Crypto Industry | Better Markets

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions Election & Political Contracts

Mar 13, 2026

Federal Reserve’s Gutted Stress Tests Will Be a Charade After Proposal Gives Wall Street’s Biggest Most Dangerous Banks the Test Answers | Better Markets

Primary document: Federal Reserve’s Gutted Stress Tests Will Be a Charade After Proposal Gives Wall Street’s Biggest Most Dangerous Banks the Test Answers | Better Markets Federal Reserve’s Gutted Stress Tests Will Be a Charade After Proposal Gives Wall Street’s Biggest Most Dangerous Banks the Test Answers | Better Markets

Federal Reserve+2 sources

Appeals & Supreme Court Watch Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 13, 2026

Senior Federal Reserve and SEC Staff Join Better Markets | Better Markets

Better Markets reports: Update: Senior Federal Reserve and SEC Staff Join Better Markets | Better Markets Senior Federal Reserve and SEC Staff Join Better Markets | Better Markets

Federal Reserve+2 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions CFTC Enforcement & Investigations State Regulator Crackdowns

Mar 13, 2026

Anti-Transparency Federal Reserve Termination of Wells Fargo Enforcement Action Is a Disservice to the American People | Better Markets

Enforcement: Anti-Transparency Federal Reserve Termination of Wells Fargo Enforcement Action Is a Disservice to the American People | Better Markets Anti-Transparency Federal Reserve Termination of Wells Fargo Enforcement Action Is a Disservice to the American People | Better Markets

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 13, 2026

Kevin Warsh’s Dilemma as Fed Chair Nominee Amid Iran War

New York Times - Business reports: Update: Kevin Warsh’s Dilemma as Fed Chair Nominee Amid Iran War Kevin Warsh’s Dilemma as Fed Chair Nominee Amid Iran War

Federal Reserve+1 sources

CFTC Rulemaking & Guidance Macro & Policy Decisions Crypto Prediction Markets

Mar 13, 2026

Bitcoiner Group to Fight Bitcoin’s Treatment as ‘Toxic Asset’

Cointelegraph reports: Update: Bitcoiner Group to Fight Bitcoin’s Treatment as ‘Toxic Asset’ Bitcoiner Group to Fight Bitcoin’s Treatment as ‘Toxic Asset’

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 12, 2026

Powell called these 13 lawmakers as DOJ opened criminal probe

The Hill reports: Update: Powell called these 13 lawmakers as DOJ opened criminal probe Powell called these 13 lawmakers as DOJ opened criminal probe

Federal Reserve+1 sources

Macro & Policy Decisions

Mar 12, 2026

Federal Reserve to loosen capital requirements for big US banks

Financial Times reports: Update: Federal Reserve to loosen capital requirements for big US banks Federal Reserve to loosen capital requirements for big US banks

Federal Reserve+1 sources

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